Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.6%). Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Schenn 53.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 69.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Lowry
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lowry
Schenn
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Schenn
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Schenn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Schenn
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
51.2% (613)
+4.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
63.6% (107)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
72.7% (22)
-32.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Lowry
Schenn
Home
54.5% (402)
54.0% (367)
Away
53.3% (368)
53.3% (375)
By Period
Lowry
Schenn
P1
52.4%
48.6%
P2
56.0%
52.0%
P3
54.2%
59.0%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |