Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Giroux 57.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 91.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 66.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 71.3%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Lowry
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Lowry
Giroux
Last 8: Lowry 7-1 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Giroux
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
59.1% (675)
-0.1%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
60.1% (316)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
50.5% (97)
-5.9%
On power play, Giroux has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Lowry is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lowry shoots left. Giroux is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Home / Away
Lowry
Giroux
Home
57.9% (330)
61.1% (529)
Away
54.0% (341)
56.4% (559)
By Period
Lowry
Giroux
P1
55.8%
56.3%
P2
55.8%
62.6%
P3
56.1%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
62.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |