Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Giroux 57.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 73.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 79.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Lowry
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
Giroux
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
2
Lowry
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
2
Lowry
Giroux
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Lowry
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
59.7% (750)
-7.0%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
62.6% (190)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
51.6% (281)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
Lowry
Giroux
Home
52.4% (597)
59.5% (580)
Away
48.4% (583)
57.3% (641)
By Period
Lowry
Giroux
P1
48.5%
56.6%
P2
52.2%
58.0%
P3
50.5%
60.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
64.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |