Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Giroux 60.9% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 55.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 65.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 73.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Lowry
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Lowry
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
60.3% (395)
-4.9%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
67.3% (107)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
65.4% (153)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Lowry
Giroux
Home
54.5% (402)
65.9% (337)
Away
53.3% (368)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Lowry
Giroux
P1
52.4%
62.1%
P2
56.0%
64.5%
P3
54.2%
60.9%
OT
40.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | OT | 00:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |