Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Giroux 60.4% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 62.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Lowry
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Lowry
Giroux
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
6
Lowry
Giroux
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Giroux
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
59.6% (606)
-5.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
69.3% (150)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
61.4% (220)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Home / Away
Lowry
Giroux
Home
53.0% (583)
65.7% (461)
Away
50.6% (605)
57.7% (515)
By Period
Lowry
Giroux
P1
52.1%
60.7%
P2
51.8%
63.7%
P3
52.3%
60.2%
OT
25.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
63.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |