Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Sissons 55.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 65.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 58.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Lowry
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lowry
Sissons
Last 7: Lowry 3-4 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Sissons
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
0
1
Lowry
Sissons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
2
Lowry
Sissons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
57.0% (923)
-1.2%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
56.8% (44)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
51.7% (325)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Sissons is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sissons
Home
53.4% (515)
55.9% (680)
Away
52.6% (549)
55.4% (612)
By Period
Lowry
Sissons
P1
54.2%
54.2%
P2
54.4%
55.0%
P3
50.8%
58.4%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |