Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Sissons 53.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 63.4%
Defensive zone
Sissons 76.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 68.3%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Lowry
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Sissons
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Sissons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Sissons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
57.1% (713)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
52.3% (44)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
46.4% (351)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sissons
Home
52.4% (597)
54.8% (569)
Away
48.4% (583)
52.1% (539)
By Period
Lowry
Sissons
P1
48.5%
56.1%
P2
52.2%
49.6%
P3
50.5%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |