Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Sissons 54.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 75.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 55.4%
Neutral zone
Sissons 64.4%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Lowry
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lowry
Sissons
Last 9: Lowry 6-3 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Sissons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Sissons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Sissons
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
56.8% (454)
-3.1%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
30.4% (23)
+30.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
52.4% (147)
-9.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Sissons is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sissons
Home
53.0% (583)
54.8% (301)
Away
50.6% (605)
54.8% (323)
By Period
Lowry
Sissons
P1
52.1%
53.0%
P2
51.8%
49.3%
P3
52.3%
61.4%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |