Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Bedard 39.8% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Lowry
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Lowry
Bedard
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
4
Lowry
Bedard
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
38.0% (618)
+15.7%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
38.7% (31)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
57.1% (7)
-14.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bedard
Home
53.0% (583)
40.5% (316)
Away
50.6% (605)
36.2% (340)
By Period
Lowry
Bedard
P1
52.1%
37.2%
P2
51.8%
36.9%
P3
52.3%
40.7%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |