Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Bedard 41.3% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 71.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 96.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 92.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Lowry
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Lowry
Bedard
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Bedard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Bedard
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
9
5
Lowry
Bedard
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
40.1% (1,580)
+12.7%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
51.9% (77)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
50.0% (24)
-5.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bedard
Home
53.5% (5,893)
43.3% (785)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
38.5% (896)
By Period
Lowry
Bedard
P1
51.5%
39.0%
P2
51.8%
40.7%
P3
51.4%
42.6%
OT
46.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |