Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Nazar 45.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 84.9%
Defensive zone
Nazar 60.8%
Neutral zone
Nazar 68.7%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Lowry
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Lowry
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
2
Lowry
Nazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
2
Lowry
Nazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
45.2% (314)
+8.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
39.5% (38)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
44.8% (29)
-2.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nazar
Home
53.0% (583)
43.4% (196)
Away
50.6% (605)
45.9% (185)
By Period
Lowry
Nazar
P1
52.1%
47.3%
P2
51.8%
40.3%
P3
52.3%
46.7%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
57.0%
51.8%
Nazar
58.0%▲
48.5%
44.6%