Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lowry wins 62.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 54.4% vs Nazar 47.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 84.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Lowry
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Lowry
Nazar
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Nazar
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Nazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Nazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (821)
47.8% (626)
+9.1%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
51.2% (168)
+36.3%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (122)
30.8% (52)
+8.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Lowry is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Lowry shoots left. Nazar is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (614).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nazar
Home
54.7% (472)
45.9% (381)
Away
55.1% (479)
48.6% (465)
By Period
Lowry
Nazar
P1
54.1%
49.3%
P2
56.9%
43.6%
P3
54.4%
48.2%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
57.0%
54.9%
Nazar
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |