Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.7% vs Nazar 46.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 51.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 77.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Lowry
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Lowry
Nazar
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
3
Lowry
Nazar
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Nazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
3
Lowry
Nazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (9,276)
46.7% (959)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.3% (457)
48.6% (208)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,172)
35.4% (82)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Lowry is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,064).
Lowry shoots left. Nazar is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (917).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nazar
Home
53.5% (5,963)
44.9% (588)
Away
49.8% (5,942)
47.5% (661)
By Period
Lowry
Nazar
P1
51.7%
48.7%
P2
51.9%
42.5%
P3
51.5%
47.0%
OT
46.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
57.0%
51.7%
Nazar
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |