Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Barbashev 43.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 71.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 88.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Lowry
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Barbashev
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Barbashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Barbashev
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
40.8% (196)
+10.6%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
37.5% (8)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
0.0% (3)
+47.8%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Barbashev is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Lowry
Barbashev
Home
52.9% (680)
49.4% (89)
Away
48.5% (615)
33.1% (118)
By Period
Lowry
Barbashev
P1
51.5%
34.3%
P2
51.5%
39.7%
P3
49.3%
46.6%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |