Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Barbashev 42.3% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 78.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 91.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Lowry
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lowry
Barbashev
Last 6: Lowry 5-1 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Barbashev
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Barbashev
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
37.9% (272)
+17.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
58.6% (29)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
40.7% (27)
+1.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Barbashev is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Lowry
Barbashev
Home
53.4% (515)
45.3% (137)
Away
52.6% (549)
36.1% (191)
By Period
Lowry
Barbashev
P1
54.2%
41.8%
P2
54.4%
43.1%
P3
50.8%
31.9%
OT
37.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |