Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Barbashev 46.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Lowry
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Barbashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
40.0% (75)
+9.3%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
58.3% (12)
+9.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Barbashev is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Lowry
Barbashev
Home
50.2% (671)
45.8% (48)
Away
47.8% (709)
38.5% (39)
By Period
Lowry
Barbashev
P1
48.4%
43.3%
P2
50.1%
31.0%
P3
47.8%
53.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |