Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Barbashev 43.0% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 96.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 85.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Lowry
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Barbashev
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Barbashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
39.1% (128)
+13.6%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
36.4% (11)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
20.0% (5)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Barbashev is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Lowry
Barbashev
Home
52.4% (597)
40.0% (85)
Away
48.4% (583)
35.6% (59)
By Period
Lowry
Barbashev
P1
48.5%
35.8%
P2
52.2%
29.5%
P3
50.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |