Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Miller 59.6% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 57.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Lowry
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lowry
Miller
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
3
Lowry
Miller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
3
Lowry
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Miller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
61.5% (540)
-6.1%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
65.6% (122)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
47.7% (65)
-7.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Lowry
Miller
Home
54.5% (402)
62.1% (372)
Away
53.3% (368)
59.7% (355)
By Period
Lowry
Miller
P1
52.4%
58.9%
P2
56.0%
63.9%
P3
54.2%
59.8%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 01:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |