Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Miller 53.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 55.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Lowry
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Lowry
Miller
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
4
Lowry
Miller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Miller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Lowry
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
55.5% (933)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
61.6% (73)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
45.8% (227)
-3.5%
On power play, Miller has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Lowry
Miller
Home
53.4% (515)
53.5% (578)
Away
52.6% (549)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Lowry
Miller
P1
54.2%
58.3%
P2
54.4%
53.5%
P3
50.8%
50.1%
OT
37.5%
70.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2021 | OT | 04:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |