Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Miller 57.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 79.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Lowry
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
2
Lowry
Miller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
58.2% (823)
-4.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
58.2% (165)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
58.9% (90)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
Lowry
Miller
Home
53.0% (583)
59.1% (558)
Away
50.6% (605)
57.3% (520)
By Period
Lowry
Miller
P1
52.1%
60.7%
P2
51.8%
57.5%
P3
52.3%
56.1%
OT
25.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |