Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Miller 55.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 66.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Lowry
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Miller
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
3
Lowry
Miller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
56.3% (1,033)
-7.0%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
62.5% (253)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
47.4% (175)
-4.8%
On even strength, Miller has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Lowry
Miller
Home
50.2% (671)
58.6% (734)
Away
47.8% (709)
54.1% (727)
By Period
Lowry
Miller
P1
48.4%
57.1%
P2
50.1%
57.0%
P3
47.8%
54.7%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |