Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs McCann 48.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 70.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.3%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Lowry
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
2
Lowry
McCann
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
McCann
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
48.8% (260)
+0.5%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
37.0% (27)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
50.0% (20)
-7.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Lowry
McCann
Home
50.2% (671)
51.0% (143)
Away
47.8% (709)
45.1% (164)
By Period
Lowry
McCann
P1
48.4%
53.6%
P2
50.1%
52.0%
P3
47.8%
37.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |