Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs McCann 46.2% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 76.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.0%
Neutral zone
McCann 51.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Lowry
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lowry
McCann
Last 7: Lowry 3-4 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
4
Lowry
McCann
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
McCann
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
48.4% (188)
+5.3%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
33.3% (15)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
31.7% (41)
+11.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Lowry
McCann
Home
53.0% (583)
52.8% (125)
Away
50.6% (605)
36.1% (119)
By Period
Lowry
McCann
P1
52.1%
37.7%
P2
51.8%
50.5%
P3
52.3%
45.2%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |