Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs McCann 43.0% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 71.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 97.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 94.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Lowry
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
10
(29 meetings)
19
10
Lowry
McCann
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
8
Lowry
McCann
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
9
0
Lowry
McCann
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
2
Lowry
McCann
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
43.1% (3,178)
+9.7%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
40.0% (260)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
42.2% (173)
+2.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
Home / Away
Lowry
McCann
Home
53.5% (5,893)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
Lowry
McCann
P1
51.5%
44.4%
P2
51.8%
41.7%
P3
51.4%
42.7%
OT
46.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jared McCann |