Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lowry wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Carter 48.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 86.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Lowry
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lowry
Carter
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
2
Lowry
Carter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Lowry
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
48.5% (977)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.8% (128)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
40.7% (123)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lowry is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (368).
Lowry shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carter
Home
49.9% (393)
50.8% (597)
Away
43.1% (452)
46.8% (631)
By Period
Lowry
Carter
P1
45.1%
48.8%
P2
44.8%
48.0%
P3
49.1%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:06 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |