Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Carter 58.5% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 76.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 76.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Lowry
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lowry
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lowry
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lowry
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
59.7% (727)
-7.0%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
68.1% (72)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
53.2% (139)
-13.2%
On power play, Carter has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carter
Home
52.4% (597)
58.7% (455)
Away
48.4% (583)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Lowry
Carter
P1
48.5%
61.3%
P2
52.2%
57.1%
P3
50.5%
59.8%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |