Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Carter 60.1% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 62.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 62.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Lowry
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lowry
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lowry
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
65.6% (262)
-16.3%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
68.3% (63)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
50.5% (99)
-7.9%
On even strength, Carter has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carter
Home
50.2% (671)
64.3% (207)
Away
47.8% (709)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Lowry
Carter
P1
48.4%
65.3%
P2
50.1%
60.1%
P3
47.8%
63.8%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |