Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Carter 56.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Lowry
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lowry
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Lowry
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
57.9% (885)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
61.7% (133)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
45.4% (119)
-3.1%
On power play, Carter has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Lowry
Carter
Home
53.4% (515)
58.2% (543)
Away
52.6% (549)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Lowry
Carter
P1
54.2%
57.5%
P2
54.4%
57.1%
P3
50.8%
55.8%
OT
37.5%
68.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |