Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Veleno 48.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 71.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 56.5%
Neutral zone
Veleno 64.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Lowry
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Lowry
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Lowry
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
3
Lowry
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
49.1% (438)
+6.7%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
37.5% (16)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
16.7% (6)
+25.6%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Lowry
Veleno
Home
53.4% (515)
44.0% (184)
Away
52.6% (549)
51.1% (276)
By Period
Lowry
Veleno
P1
54.2%
50.8%
P2
54.4%
50.4%
P3
50.8%
43.9%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |