Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Veleno 51.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 63.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lowry
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Lowry
Veleno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
52.9% (272)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
37.9% (29)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Veleno is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Lowry
Veleno
Home
54.5% (402)
49.6% (123)
Away
53.3% (368)
52.8% (178)
By Period
Lowry
Veleno
P1
52.4%
54.8%
P2
56.0%
49.2%
P3
54.2%
52.6%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 04:56 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |