Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.0%). Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Veleno 49.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 52.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Lowry
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Veleno
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Veleno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Veleno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
48.4% (531)
+0.9%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
56.3% (64)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
44.4% (27)
-1.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Lowry
Veleno
Home
50.2% (671)
48.8% (289)
Away
47.8% (709)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Lowry
Veleno
P1
48.4%
46.1%
P2
50.1%
50.9%
P3
47.8%
49.7%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |