Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 55.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 70.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Lowry
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Lowry
Draisaitl
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
7
Lowry
Draisaitl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
55.9% (835)
-0.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
61.8% (228)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
50.0% (40)
-9.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Lowry
Draisaitl
Home
54.5% (402)
55.1% (508)
Away
53.3% (368)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Lowry
Draisaitl
P1
52.4%
55.8%
P2
56.0%
55.7%
P3
54.2%
59.0%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |