Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 75.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Lowry
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Draisaitl
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Lowry
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Lowry
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
53.7% (923)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
56.1% (244)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
58.6% (29)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Lowry
Draisaitl
Home
53.0% (583)
55.2% (636)
Away
50.6% (605)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Lowry
Draisaitl
P1
52.1%
50.8%
P2
51.8%
56.6%
P3
52.3%
54.0%
OT
25.0%
67.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |