Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 67.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 82.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Lowry
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Lowry
Draisaitl
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
5
Lowry
Draisaitl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Draisaitl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Lowry
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
57.4% (1,010)
-8.1%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
56.2% (331)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
54.5% (110)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Lowry
Draisaitl
Home
50.2% (671)
56.4% (734)
Away
47.8% (709)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Lowry
Draisaitl
P1
48.4%
55.6%
P2
50.1%
62.1%
P3
47.8%
52.4%
OT
66.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 21, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |