Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 81 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 100-84 in 184 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 66.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lowry
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
84
-
100
(184 meetings)
84
100
Lowry
Draisaitl
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
21
60
Lowry
Draisaitl
81 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
39
19
Lowry
Draisaitl
58 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
24
21
Lowry
Draisaitl
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
52.9% (10,240)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
55.7% (2,827)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
51.2% (977)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Lowry
Draisaitl
Home
53.5% (5,893)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Lowry
Draisaitl
P1
51.5%
52.7%
P2
51.8%
53.6%
P3
51.4%
53.4%
OT
46.3%
57.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |