Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.2%). Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Jankowski 53.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 73.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Lowry
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Lowry
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
54.1% (527)
+1.3%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (14)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
57.5% (40)
-17.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jankowski
Home
54.5% (402)
53.9% (310)
Away
53.3% (368)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Lowry
Jankowski
P1
52.4%
54.6%
P2
56.0%
56.3%
P3
54.2%
51.9%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |