Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Jankowski 50.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 65.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 65.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Lowry
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Lowry
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
51.3% (347)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
72.7% (11)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
44.0% (75)
-1.3%
On power play, Jankowski has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jankowski
Home
53.0% (583)
46.8% (188)
Away
50.6% (605)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Lowry
Jankowski
P1
52.1%
51.6%
P2
51.8%
49.3%
P3
52.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |