Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 59.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 65.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Lowry
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Lowry
Jankowski
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
8
Lowry
Jankowski
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Jankowski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Jankowski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
51.5% (3,462)
+1.3%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
53.7% (95)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
42.8% (528)
+2.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jankowski
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Lowry
Jankowski
P1
51.5%
50.0%
P2
51.8%
51.2%
P3
51.4%
50.2%
OT
46.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |