Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Jankowski 50.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 65.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Lowry
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lowry
Jankowski
Last 5: Lowry 2-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Lowry
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
49.3% (134)
+0.0%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
37.5% (8)
+30.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
61.9% (21)
-19.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jankowski
Home
50.2% (671)
54.2% (72)
Away
47.8% (709)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Lowry
Jankowski
P1
48.4%
54.2%
P2
50.1%
42.4%
P3
47.8%
55.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |