Scouting Report
Matt Boldy holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Boldy 52.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 88.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.5%
Neutral zone
Boldy 61.4%
Result
Matt Boldy favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Lowry
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lowry
Boldy
Last 8: Lowry 5-3 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
0
1
Lowry
Boldy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Boldy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Boldy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
57.7% (97)
-5.0%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
46.2% (39)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
60.0% (5)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Boldy has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Boldy is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Lowry
Boldy
Home
52.4% (597)
57.5% (80)
Away
48.4% (583)
50.8% (61)
By Period
Lowry
Boldy
P1
48.5%
54.5%
P2
52.2%
55.6%
P3
50.5%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Matt Boldy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Matt Boldy |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |