Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boldy on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Boldy 48.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 81.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.3%
Neutral zone
Boldy 54.8%
Result
Matt Boldy favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Lowry
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Boldy
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
1
3
Lowry
Boldy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Boldy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
44.3% (88)
+9.4%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
53.1% (32)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
40.0% (5)
+2.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Boldy is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Lowry
Boldy
Home
53.0% (583)
44.6% (74)
Away
50.6% (605)
49.0% (51)
By Period
Lowry
Boldy
P1
52.1%
42.6%
P2
51.8%
52.6%
P3
52.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |