Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Boldy on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Boldy 48.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Boldy leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Boldy 84.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 91.6%
Neutral zone
Boldy 51.9%
Result
Matt Boldy favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Lowry
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Lowry
Boldy
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
1
5
Lowry
Boldy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Boldy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Boldy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
48.0% (333)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
48.6% (140)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
40.0% (15)
+4.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Boldy is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Lowry
Boldy
Home
53.5% (5,893)
46.9% (277)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
49.3% (211)
By Period
Lowry
Boldy
P1
51.5%
42.6%
P2
51.8%
52.0%
P3
51.4%
51.5%
OT
46.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Matt Boldy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Matt Boldy |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |