Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Beniers 49.4% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 71.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 71.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 50.8%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Lowry
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Beniers
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Lowry
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
48.9% (833)
+6.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
58.3% (36)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
50.0% (32)
-9.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Lowry
Beniers
Home
54.5% (402)
52.4% (460)
Away
53.3% (368)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Lowry
Beniers
P1
52.4%
48.4%
P2
56.0%
51.1%
P3
54.2%
47.8%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |