Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Beniers 42.9% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 85.3%
Defensive zone
Beniers 60.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 77.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Lowry
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lowry
Beniers
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
3
Lowry
Beniers
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
4
Lowry
Beniers
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
42.3% (879)
+10.4%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
40.3% (72)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
44.4% (18)
-4.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Lowry
Beniers
Home
52.4% (597)
43.8% (495)
Away
48.4% (583)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Lowry
Beniers
P1
48.5%
43.3%
P2
52.2%
45.6%
P3
50.5%
38.2%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | OT | 04:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |