Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Beniers 47.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 76.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Lowry
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Lowry
Beniers
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Beniers
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
5
Lowry
Beniers
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
48.3% (1,050)
+5.4%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
42.9% (105)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
43.6% (39)
-0.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Lowry
Beniers
Home
53.0% (583)
48.7% (630)
Away
50.6% (605)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Lowry
Beniers
P1
52.1%
49.2%
P2
51.8%
45.0%
P3
52.3%
49.3%
OT
25.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |