Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Beniers 46.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 25-23 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 76.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 67.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 56.1%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Lowry
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
25
(48 meetings)
23
25
Lowry
Beniers
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Lowry
Beniers
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
11
2
Lowry
Beniers
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
14
Lowry
Beniers
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
46.6% (3,796)
+6.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
47.8% (360)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
41.4% (111)
+3.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Home / Away
Lowry
Beniers
Home
53.5% (5,893)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
44.2% (2,072)
By Period
Lowry
Beniers
P1
51.5%
47.4%
P2
51.8%
47.1%
P3
51.4%
45.7%
OT
46.3%
34.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |