Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs McLeod 56.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 78.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 68.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lowry
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Lowry
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Lowry
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
58.3% (859)
-2.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
50.0% (28)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
53.0% (168)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
53.4% (515)
55.3% (526)
Away
52.6% (549)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
54.2%
60.7%
P2
54.4%
55.9%
P3
50.8%
55.2%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |