Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs McLeod 63.0% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 87.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 83.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Lowry
McLeod
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Lowry
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Lowry
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
5
Lowry
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
64.8% (509)
-15.5%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
68.4% (19)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
65.3% (124)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
50.2% (671)
64.3% (308)
Away
47.8% (709)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
48.4%
62.9%
P2
50.1%
64.8%
P3
47.8%
67.9%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |