Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs McLeod 59.6% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 77.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 77.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Lowry
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
McLeod
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Lowry
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Lowry
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
61.5% (792)
-8.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
65.2% (23)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
55.6% (153)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Lowry
McLeod
Home
52.4% (597)
62.0% (460)
Away
48.4% (583)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Lowry
McLeod
P1
48.5%
61.5%
P2
52.2%
63.6%
P3
50.5%
56.2%
OT
50.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |