Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Granlund 47.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 80.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 50.0%
Neutral zone
Granlund 62.2%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Lowry
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lowry
Granlund
Last 8: Lowry 3-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Lowry
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Lowry
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
47.7% (1,001)
+8.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
53.4% (73)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
40.2% (132)
+2.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Lowry
Granlund
Home
53.4% (515)
45.9% (582)
Away
52.6% (549)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Lowry
Granlund
P1
54.2%
48.6%
P2
54.4%
46.7%
P3
50.8%
46.9%
OT
37.5%
31.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 19:24 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |